I’ve been seeing these news articles online about a NASA study, and as usual they are just a few scary or exciting views from the study, but this time they were particularly annoying because there was absolutely no way to figure out what study they were talking about! They didn’t list the name of the study at all, and while they mentioned one of the researchers, most people don’t know how to access research.

My summary is this, The article describes an algorithm to help determine what pattern a civilization can follow before it leads to collapse. If it does not lead to collapse, then it detail what will likely happen instead. There are also insights into which form of civilization we are in and what we need to do to avoid a collapse we are headed towards according to this model.

I HIGHLY suggest you read the article yourself, even if you skip the mathematically dense sections. The intro, section 5, and the conclusions are worth a read.

http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~ekalnay/pubs/2014-03-18-handy1-paper-draft-safa-motesharrei-rivas-kalnay.pdf